Resources

This page collects the resources that are genuinely useful when you want to learn, verify a claim, or go deeper on a topic.

The goal is not to dump links. The goal is to point you to the few places that matter most.

Official platform resources

• Polymarket Docs for developer documentation and platform mechanics
• Polymarket Help Center for user-facing support and trading basics
• Kalshi Help Center for order types, fees, withdrawals, and tax documents

Regulation and legal reference

• CFTC for U.S. regulatory announcements, filings, and enforcement actions related to event contracts
• Public court filings and regulator statements when legal status is changing

Research and forecasting context

• Academic papers on market accuracy, calibration, and information aggregation
• Historical discussions of the Iowa Electronic Markets
• Forecasting communities like Metaculus for non-trading comparison

A simple research workflow

When you need to verify something, start with the platform or regulator itself.

If you are checking a live claim, such as fees, access, contract availability, or legal status, do not rely on a blog summary when the official source is available.

If you are checking a broad claim, such as whether prediction markets are useful or accurate, look for research or long-run evidence instead of one-off anecdotes.

How to use these resources well

Use official help centers for platform mechanics.

Use regulators and court documents for legal claims.

Use research papers and long-term studies for claims about market accuracy.

Avoid building a page around screenshots, social posts, or unsourced headlines when a primary source exists.

FAQ

Why not list every blog and newsletter?

Because most of them repeat the same points. This section is meant to stay useful, not noisy.

What should I trust most for current facts?

For anything time-sensitive, trust the latest primary source from the platform or regulator first.

What should I read next?

Use the Glossary for definitions, the FAQ for common questions, and the Changelog for notable platform shifts.